{"id":413,"date":"2025-10-02T21:22:43","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T21:22:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/?p=413"},"modified":"2025-10-02T21:28:58","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T21:28:58","slug":"2028-presidential-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/2025\/10\/02\/2028-presidential-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"2028 Presidential Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Announcing Plural Vote&#8217;s first iteration of its 2028 presidential forecast!!! \ud83c\udf89\ud83e\udd73\ud83c\udf8a \ud83c\udf89<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is to be updated daily as new data comes in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It has Democrats winning a landslide over Republicans, one of the largest in history and never seen in at least many decades, although similar to Lyndon B. Johnson&#8217;s 1964 trouncing over racist Barry Goldwater.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"857\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rplot02.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-414\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rplot02.png 857w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rplot02-300x188.png 300w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/Rplot02-768x480.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 857px) 100vw, 857px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"614\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/statewide_predicted_margins_with_custom_colors_sorted_ascending-614x1024.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-415\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/statewide_predicted_margins_with_custom_colors_sorted_ascending-614x1024.png 614w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/statewide_predicted_margins_with_custom_colors_sorted_ascending-180x300.png 180w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/statewide_predicted_margins_with_custom_colors_sorted_ascending-768x1280.png 768w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/statewide_predicted_margins_with_custom_colors_sorted_ascending-922x1536.png 922w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/statewide_predicted_margins_with_custom_colors_sorted_ascending-1229x2048.png 1229w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/statewide_predicted_margins_with_custom_colors_sorted_ascending.png 1800w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 614px) 100vw, 614px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"614\" src=\"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/violinplot-1024x614.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-416\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/violinplot-1024x614.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/violinplot-300x180.png 300w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/violinplot-768x461.png 768w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/violinplot-1536x922.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/violinplot-2048x1229.png 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on our methodology, the amateurish lying oppressor-and-unjust neo-Nazi Republican party wins in 0.0% of any of our simulations. Globally, Nazis (who call themselves conservatives) haven&#8217;t been racking up many wins lately &#8211; Le Pen is in jail for a hefty sentence in France as courts sided against her, Canada is liberal, Australia is liberal now, and the UK is now as well. Good news! \ud83c\udf89\ud83e\udd73\ud83c\udf8a \ud83c\udf89 Moreover, a recent statewide Wisconsin SCOTUS court race went liberal by over 10 points, and the Nazi GOP cannot afford to ever lose that swing state (whose Senate race we won in 2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;color:green;\">Sean Le Van<\/span><\/strong> \ud83d\udc7d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Announcing Plural Vote&#8217;s first iteration of its 2028 presidential forecast!!! \ud83c\udf89\ud83e\udd73\ud83c\udf8a \ud83c\udf89 It is to be updated daily as new data comes in. It has Democrats winning a landslide over Republicans, one of the largest in history and never seen in at least many decades, although similar to Lyndon B. Johnson&#8217;s 1964 trouncing over racist [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-413","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-statistical-analysis"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/413"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=413"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/413\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":425,"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/413\/revisions\/425"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=413"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=413"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.pluralvote.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=413"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}